Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 0.070197 0.077785 0.086111 0.095972 0.107392 0.120273 0.136004
2024-10-27 0.058192 0.068318 0.080337 0.095842 0.115589 0.140284 0.174138
2024-11-03 0.050886 0.062478 0.077118 0.097374 0.125356 0.163737 0.222420
2024-11-10 0.045550 0.057959 0.074437 0.098610 0.134432 0.187823 0.278343
2024-11-17 0.041017 0.053697 0.071232 0.098232 0.140714 0.208858 0.336000
2024-11-24 0.037873 0.050845 0.069443 0.099375 0.149190 0.234995 0.411391
2024-12-01 0.035314 0.048463 0.067927 0.100528 0.157672 0.263005 0.501512
2024-12-08 0.033100 0.046312 0.066432 0.101364 0.165596 0.291881 0.606658
2024-12-15 0.031008 0.044111 0.064562 0.101212 0.171563 0.318370 0.719819
2024-12-22 0.028964 0.041786 0.062219 0.099850 0.174861 0.340004 0.832540
2024-12-29 0.027782 0.040711 0.061801 0.101862 0.185275 0.380963 1.030897
2025-01-05 0.026110 0.038697 0.059583 0.100176 0.187514 0.402716 1.182296
2025-01-12 0.025001 0.037550 0.058798 0.101242 0.196279 0.445207 1.455011
2025-01-19 0.023726 0.036029 0.057213 0.100517 0.200842 0.478094 1.726374
2025-01-26 0.022862 0.035144 0.056692 0.101901 0.210822 0.531444 2.174444
2025-02-02 0.022048 0.034282 0.056128 0.103109 0.220669 0.589154 2.754004
2025-02-09 0.021099 0.033114 0.054881 0.102664 0.226108 0.634620 3.355033
2025-02-16 0.020418 0.032379 0.054397 0.103858 0.236362 0.703595 4.340206
2025-02-23 0.019791 0.031695 0.053950 0.105073 0.247032 0.780917 5.707324
2025-03-02 0.019173 0.030987 0.053393 0.105956 0.256991 0.862086 7.549808
2025-03-09 0.018495 0.030125 0.052453 0.105793 0.263720 0.933434 9.754366
2025-03-16 0.017743 0.029080 0.051062 0.104349 0.266029 0.985042 12.073481
2025-03-23 0.017368 0.028731 0.051085 0.106483 0.280953 1.116793 18.013189